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SUMMARY:Why Pundits and Experts Often Get It Wrong: A Discussion on "Future Babble"
DESCRIPTION:Join us for an online discussion on December 18th!\n\n\nEver wonder why the bold predictions from experts on TV and in the news so often miss the mark? From stock market forecasts to political outcomes\, confident predictions abound\, yet our future remains stubbornly unpredictable. \nJoin the Austin Forum for a fascinating book discussion on “Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail—and Why We Believe Them Anyway” by Dan Gardner. Craig Wheeler\, author of “The Path to Singularity” and a professor emeritus of astronomy\, will help us dive into the psychology behind our desire for certainty and explore Gardner’s compelling argument that the most confident “expert” pundits are often the most likely to be wrong.  \nThis is a conversation about critical thinking in an age of information overload. We’ll discuss: \n\nWhy our brains are wired to trust confident-sounding predictions\, even when they’re baseless.\nHow to distinguish between genuine expertise and confident “hedgehogs” who oversimplify complex issues.\nThe impact of failed predictions on our society\, from financial markets to public policy.\n\nAs we approach the start of a new year\, we’re all going to hear about predictions for 2026—including in our own Austin Forum event in January! After this discussion we will all be more careful about making predictions and knowing how to assess predictions made by others. It should make for some great holiday conversations with family\, too. 😉 \nWhether you’ve read the book cover-to-cover or are just intrigued by the topic\, you’re welcome to join the discussion. Come share your thoughts on how we can all become smarter consumers of information and make better decisions in an uncertain world.  \n \nAttendance Instructions \nThe discussion will be held online via Google Meet. Please register to receive the meet link! \nSpace is limited\, so please register only if you’re confident you can attend—and kindly cancel your registration if your plans change so we can open your spot to another participant.
URL:https://austin-ai.org/event/why-pundits-and-experts-often-get-it-wrong-a-discussion-on-future-babble/
LOCATION:TX
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